Saturday, May 30, 2015

How Long Will Carly Fiorina's "Moment" Last?

Vintage media sources, like the Washington Post, think Carly Fiorina is just having 'a moment'.  What will they think if Ms. Fiorina’s moment lasts? Imagine their disgust if they had to start reporting that she's a policy wonk and a great communicator.  Oh Noes!
"Clinton is Fiorina’s foil and chief raison d’etre in the crowded Republican primary field. The only woman among the Republican candidates, she tells crowds that her business background makes her the more accomplished choice to become the first woman president.
And she is having a moment this week, trying to capitalize on Clinton's frequent reluctance to take questions at her campaign events and on general press grumpiness.  Clinton is avoiding questions about Iraq, her family foundation and her record at the State Department, Fiorina said Wednesday.  “The Republican Party needs a nominee who will ask these questions on a general debate stage” and answer them from reporters, Fiorina said outside the hotel."
This isn't a prediction but I wouldn't be surprised if Ms. Fiorina wound up being the fourth (and last) top tier candidate.  She's a great communicator and starting to come across a bit of a policy wonk, especially well-versed in explaining the negatives about regulations.  The other thing she has going for her is that she can rip on Hillary without coming across as mean. The fact that she's shadowing Hillary and grabbing lots of free press tells me that she's a savvy media person, too, which is important.

One thing that's become clear is that Ms. Fiorina isn't a sliver candidate like Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum or Chris Christie.  Earlier this week, Rand Paul made another foolish accusation against his presidential opponents when he accused Republicans of creating ISIS.  Statements like that immediately identify him as a fringe candidate.  The GOP won't nominate someone who is to the left of Hillary on national defense.

Rick Santorum doesn’t bring anything special to the field.  People won’t take a Johnny One-Note candidate who hasn't won an election since 2000.  He won the Iowa Caucuses in 2012, defeating Mitt Romney by a handful of votes.  To tell you how pathetic that is, Mike Huckabee defeated Mitt Romney by almost 11,000 votes and by 9 points in 2008. In 2012, Rick Santorum defeated Romney by 34 votes.

When your signature victory is by 34 votes over a candidate who didn't work the state that hard, it's a telling sign.

 And this from Hot Air:

"I’m waiting to see some fresh numbers either nationally or in the early primary states which is less than a couple of weeks old. I don't know how much Fiorina has moved the needle yet – assuming there's been motion – but she's picking up a ton of earned media everywhere she goes. And yet again, the way she's doing it isn't by starting a private, internecine grudge match such as the one between Rand Paul and Lindsey Graham. She's taking the battle to Hillary Clinton's doorstep… literally in this case."
Personally, I don't think she can win the nomination, but a classy chick none the less. And if she makes the cut for the debates, she can probably hold her own with the guys.  She might be a good choice for VP, but for now, she's extremely valuable as the only one in the GOP field that can take on at full throttle Hillary Clinton and not be accused of what anyone else would be.  

Expect some serious burning of the midnight oil at Clinton Opposition Research, and hit pieces by Clinton friendly media sources if Mrs. Fiorina’s campaign picks ups any speed in the near future.